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Analyst Coverage of InterDigital
Updated: March 5, 2007 Dates of relatively recent reports are in red below First Albany: Santosh Rao (March 1, 2007) More First Albany/Santosh Rao info below Santash Rao (replacing Frank Marsala - now with Gartner - as primary analyst) retains $40 12 month target but adjusts rating from strong buy to buy because of IDCC's relatively higher share. "We continue to believe the company remains well positioned to add new 3G licensees in 2007, and will be successful in its proceedings with Samsung, either of which should move the share price higher." Nollenberger: Casey Ryan. (March 1, 2007) More Nollenberger/Casey Ryan info below Reiterates Buy. Reiterates target of $40 Casey Ryan, Nollenberger, reiterates "Buy" recommendation and reiterates share price target of $40. "We believe the new 3G deals are the most important near-term catalysts for the company's shares beyond the Samsung resolution." Hilliard Lyons: Tom Carpenter (March 1, 2007) More Hilliard/Carpenter info below Tom Carpenter reiterates his rating to Long-term buy and reiterates his share price target of $40, CEO Bill Merritt is on record that InterDigital will sign a 3G license with at least one major handset manufacturer in 2007. We believe IDCC can parlay its $175 million to $200 million 2G arbitrtion award with Samsung into a combined 2G and 3G license. In addition, Sony Ericsson and IDCC have a good working relationship, which could result is a 3G license in 2007. Boenning & Scattergood: Michael Ciarmoli and Bradley Mook (February 28, 2007) More info on Boenning & Scattergood below Reiterating our Market Outperform rating and raising our price target to $43 (from $39) on shares of IDCC. Although the quarterly results may have been fairly muted we believe IDCC is making great strides towards capturing royalties from the budding 3G marketplace. Furthermore, we believe the company's product development business will eventually be a solid compliment to its licensing business, allowing for an additional method of capturing revenue from the sizable wireless market. In January we named InterDigital one of our Top Picks for 2007 and we remain confident in that selection. Zacks Equity Research: David Weissman (November 3, 2006) More information on David Weissman and Zacks Equity Research below Founded in 1978, this firm uses quanitative analysis related to earnings estimates revisions, complemented with qualitative analysis by investment professional like David Weissman. On November 3, 2006, InterDigital is reiterated as a buy and the six month share price target is raised to $42 from $39. Standard and Poors Quantitative Stock Report September 23,2006
Sabrient Systems / BNY Jaywalk Consensus (September 6, 2006) September 25, 2006 1 page BNY Jaywalk Update Initiates with a BUY rating. No price target provided. Sabrient Systems is an independent research firm providing statistical analysis of a company's fundamental data to investment professionals. Sabrient uses computer-driven quanitative methodology to identify stocks that appear poised to outperform or underperform the market. (This computer-driven quantitative approach is different from the "hands on" personal analysis of "retail" analysis by firms above like First Albany (Frank Marsala), Nollenberger (Casey Ryan) and others. Excellent graphics throughout the report make this an easy one to understand. Sept. 18, 2006 1 page BNY Jaywalk update
Ford Equity Research / BIR (Best Independent Research group of five analyst firms) September 15, 2006 Reiterates BUY Raises recommendation from "Favorable" to "Most Favorable" The Ford research team projects that IDCC will strongly outperform the market over the next 6 to 12 months. Our decision is based on systematic analysis, which balances IDCC's quality and trend of its earnings growth, relative fundamental valuation and its timeliness. BIR is a group of five analyst firms (including Ford) who share their expertise and research with each other under the umbrella of "Best Investment Research, LLP"
Reuters Company Research Report (August 15, 2006) No analyst cited as author of report A quantitative report based on wide variety of Company and industry financial information. with excellent graphics and tools for deciding whether this is a good investment for the investor reading the report.
Reuters ProVestor Plus Company Report (August 15, 2006) No analyst cited as author of report A 17 page quantitative report based on variety of Company and industry financial information. Especially strong in providing financial informatio on IDCC from 1998 to present and various industry comparison.graphs. Schwab Company Research Report (August 17, 2006) (5 pages) No analyst cited as author of report A quantitative report with very limited Company and industry financial information, based on Reuters and others research. No rating or price target given. Schwab Earnings Report (August, 2006) (no specific date on report) (4 pages) No analyst cited as author of report A quantitative report with very limited but nicely graphed Company and industry financial information on earnings based on Reuters research. No rating or price target given Piper Jaffrey NOTE: Piper Jaffrey analysts Amit Kapur and T. Michael Walkley also report for their clients, but these reports are not available here and their attorney has threatened legal action if their information is shared here. They are currently (August 2006) the most conservative in their estimate of future earnings for InterDigital and in their share price target. Reportedly, Piper Jaffray on November 2, 2006 had an "underperform" rating and $26 share target price for InterDigital.
ABOUT ANALYST REPORTS Institutions (mutual funds, insurance companies, pension funds etc.) employ or contract with their own analysts, who provide recommendations to their respective employers/clients. These reports often are not available beyond the institutional clients. Since institutional ownership of InterDigital is growing at a quick pace in both the number of institutions and the volume of share ownership, it is apparent that more and more institutional analysts are covering InterDigital and that their recommendations are positive "Retail" (sell side) analysts generally make their reports available to individual investors, who use their brokerage or investment services. WirelessLedger has been able to access analyst reports on InterDigital from four firms with "retail" clientele: Halpern Capital, Hilliard Lyons, First Albany Capital, Nollenberger Capital Partners and Boenning & Scattergood. Reports also available here from Internet broker Zacks and Internet information compiler Reuters.
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First Albany Capital: Frank Marsala
First Albany: Santosh Rao March 1, 2007 Update Report Santash Rao (replacing Frank Marsala - now with Gartner - as primary analyst) retains $40 12 month target, but adjusts rating from strong buy to buy because of IDCC's relatively higher share price. "We continue to believe the company remains well positioned to add new 3G licensees in 2007, and will be successful in its proceedings with Samsung, either of which should move the share price higher." Also available: Archived previous UPDATES for First Albany: Frank Marsala: Frank Marsala, First Albany Capital, reiterates "strong buy" and reiterates target of $40 We adjusted our model to reflect the company's guidance.... IDCC shares sold off more than we would have thought on the guidance, in part because of the consensus estimate being skewed by one estimate that includes the revenues. from the settlement of the company's litigation with Samsung. . December 6, 2006 November 2, 2006 Update (Reiterates) Strong Buy and reiterates target share price of $40 Sell-Off Overdone; Reiterate Strong Buy October 4, 2006 Update (Reiterates) Strong Buy and reiterates target share price of $43. InterDigital announced today that it has extended its licensing arrangement with Infineon (IFX).... allows InterDigital to integrate its own 3G baseband design (WCDMA, HSDPA and HSUPA) with Infineon's 2G suite to offer a complete dual-mode 2G/3G wireless modem platform suite, including the 3G protocol stack.... This extended licensing agreement is positive for InterDigital, as it will enable the company to offer a more complete product, and will improve its chances to add new licensees for its technology solutions suite. September 7, 2006 Update (Reiterates) Strong Buy and Raises Target share price from $40 to $43 (September 7, 2006) Cites very favorable 2G Samsung arbitration ruling of Sept. 6. Total amount to be paid InterDigital comes to roughly $180 million, which is significantly higher that his previously estimated range of $60-$115 million. He believes new arb ruling may open door for discussions on a 3G deal. Marsala believes there remains a number of positive catalysts for this stock, altho timing is difficult to forecast. "Nonethless, we believe we can continue to get very good visibiliy on the company's quarterly top and bottom line numbers, which is more than we can say for most of the companies in our universe." September 5, 2006 Update (Reiterates) Strong Buy (Reiterates) Target of $40 In this report, Frank Marsala provides a fascinating estimate of potential 3G royalties from Samsung based on this year's LG royalty deal. Further he notes possible new strategy in US for collecting royalties based on Smoot-Hawley in which the ITC may rule to bar imports into the US of patent infringing products. Well worth reading August 17, 2006 Updated Report Brief updates on four companies, including InterDigital May 24,2006 Nollenberger Capital Partners: Casey Ryan
Link here to: Archived previous updates:December 6, 2006 Nolenberg: Casey Ryan Update Report Casey Ryan, Nollenberger, reiterates "Buy" recommendation and reiterates share price target of $40. We are lowering our 4Q revenue and EPS estimtes for InterDigital to $62 million and $0.32.... Product revenue opportunity may get boost from 3G launch in China.... We view Chinese 3G and TD-SCDMA development as a strong positive for InterDigital Reiterates Buy. Reiterates target of $40 Reports In-Line 3Q; No Samsung Resolution; Valuation Compelling Again October 30, 2006 update prior to 3Q company report October 5, 2006 Updated Report Reiterates Buy. Reiterates target of $40 based on FY07 EPS estimate of $1.60 Yesterday, InterDigital announced that it has expanded its licensing relationship with Infineon, ... enabling InterDigital to provide a complete 2G wireless baseband solution for mobile handsets. ... We believe that a final settlement with Samsung remains the most critical objective for InterDigital management to focus on over the next three to six months. September 15, 2006 Updated Report Reiterates Buy. Reiterates target of $40 based on FY07 EPS estimate of $1.60 Samsung is following Nokia's playbook filing suit to block payment of settlement award to IDCC. We continue to believe that payment from Samsungto IDCC could occur in 4Q2006 but see increased chance it wil slip to 2007 because of last ditch legal efforts by Samsung. We do not expect a materialchange in the award but concede there could be small concessions in return for final settlement. September 7, 2006 Updated Report (Reiterates Buy. Lowers target from $44 to $40 based on new lower FY07 EPS estimate of $1.60 Ryan is pleased with higher than expected financial outcome of the arbitration, other issues settled in InterDigital's favor. "In our opinion, InterDigital must now focus on making progress in signing more major vendors to 3G licenses..." August 17, 2006 Updated Report August 3, 2006 Updated Report (Reiterates Buy. Lowers target to $43 from $44 June 6, 2006 Raises price target to $44, based on new earnings estimate Initiating coverage report: Casey Ryan/Nollenberger initiating coverage full report (Sept. 22, 2005)
The Hilliard Lyons senior technology analyst is Tom Carpenter. Tom has covered Motorola, Nokia, Qualcomm, Palm, DoubleClick, Lexmark, Flextronics, and Sypris Solutions. He has followed InterDigital closely and initiated coverage in May 2001 with a "buy" when the IDCC shares were trading at $12. Link here: Tom Carpenter reiterates his rating to Long-term buy and reiterates his share price target of $40, CEO Bill Merritt is on record that InterDigital will sign a 3G license with at least one major handset manufacturer in 2007. We believe IDCC can parlay its $175 million to $200 million 2G arbitrtion award with Samsung into a combined 2G and 3G license. In addition, Sony Ericsson and IDCC have a good working relationship, which could result is a 3G license in 2007. Archived previous updates: December 8, 2006 Updated Report Tom Carpenter RAISES his rating to Long-term BUY and RAISES his share PRICE TARGET to $40, citing a number of reasons, including: *Share price pullback presents buying opportunity. IDCC now undervalued; * IDCC will ultimately collect on its 2G money owed ($150-$200 million) by Samsung, as it did from Nokia. Could possibly negotiate settlement that includes 3G; * IDCC is investing heavily in product development that could complement its licensing activity; * IDCC is in the enviable position of generating more cash flow than it needs to fund its current business model. Cash at end of 3Q 2006 is $5.58 per share; * Believes the firm can earn between $0.50 and $1.25 per handset sold by licensees; * InterDigital's annual earnings share in the $2 to $3.50 range. * IDCC could sign 3G licensing agreements with two major manufacturers in 2007 (probably Sony Ericsson and Samsung) with Nokia potentially signing in late 2007 or 1H 2008 and Motorola in 2008; * Risk: the increasingly contentious licensing landscape throughout the industry. November 6, 2006 Updated Report Upping rating to neutral from underperform on (recent) share price pullback. We regard the news regarding Samsung continuing to fight IDCC's $175 million to $200 million 2G arbitration award dampened expectations that IDCC and Samsung could craft a combined 2G and 3G licensing agreement (at least in the near term). We believe industry-wide licensing may remain at a standstill until Nokia and Qualcomm resolve their 3G licensing dispute, thus hampering IDCC's 3G licensing efforts. September 6, 2006 Updated Report Lowers rating from long-term buy to underperform. Retains price target of $34 to $39. At recent share price of $34.25, Carpenter writes "We believe it is prudent to take profits... Low 2007 P&L visibility.We are optimistic the parties will now work on a 3G agreement given that InterDigital appears to have added leverage... Although a new 3G license would quickly add to visibility, we are surprised at the lack of new licenses since the January 2006 LG agreement..."
Boenning & Scattergood: Michael Ciarmoli and Bradley Mook
Michael Ciarmoli is a research associate in the Firm's technology group focusing on a broad range of computer software companies. Michael gained his technology and software experience working as a consultant for Accenture, and most recently as a project manager at Wilmington Trust where he supported several investment management software applications. Michael also worked as an equity trader for Hold Brother's in Jersey City, NJ. Michael earned a BS in Finance from Villanova University in 1998 and a MBA from Drexel's LeBow College of Business in 2005. Bradley L. Mook, CFA joined Boenning & Scattergood as Senior Technology Analyst. Previously, Brad covered small-cap software companies as Partner and Director of Research at Emerging Growth Equities, LTD. Prior to that, he covered software and hardware at Investec as a Senior Technology Analyst and prior to that with Schroder & Company, NatWest Securities and Value Line, Inc. Brad is a Chartered Financial Analyst and a member of the Financial Analysts of Philadelphia. Brad graduated from Williams College with a B.A. in Political Economy. Link here to: Boenning & Scattergood: Michael Ciarmoli and Bradley Mook February 28, 2007 Updated Report Reiterating our Market Outperform rating and raising our price target to $43 on shares of IDCC. Although the quarterly results may have been fairly muted we believe IDCC is making great strides towards capturing royalties from the budding 3G marketplace. Furthermore, we believe the company's product development business will eventually be a solid compliment to its licensing business, allowing for an additional method of capturing revenue from the sizable wireless market. In January we named InterDigital one of our Top Picks for 2007 and we remain confident in that selection. Archived previous reports: December 21, 2006 Updated Report Michael F Ciarmoli and Bradley L Mook reiterate their "outperform" rating and $39 share price target. Investment Conclusion: We believe InterDigital is well positioned to grow its recurring royalty revenues by licensing 3G and emerging next generation wireless technologies to mobile handset OEMs. December 6, 2006 Updated Report Michael F Ciarmoli and Bradley L Mook reiterate their "outperform" rating and $39 share price target. InterDigital is well positioned to grow its recurring royalty revenues by licensing 3G and emerging next generation wireless technologies to mobile handset OEMs. Recurring royalty revenues have grown steadily over the past six quarters and although the timing of future licensing deals and threat of litgation is a concern, we believe that investors should have confience that these revenue strams will continue to grow. November 2, 2006 Updated Report Reiterates Outperform InterDigital is well positioned to grow its recurring royalty revenues by licensing 3G and emerging next generation wireless techniologies to mobile handset OEM's. Recurring royalty revenues have grown steadily over the past six quarters and although the timing of future licensing deal and the threat of litigation is a concern, we believe investors should have confidence that these revenue streams will continue to grow, August 3, 2006 updated report "InterDigital reported 2Q06 results that exceeded the Company's guidance, the consensus estimate, as well as our estimates.... InterDigital's forward-looking philosophy and active involvement in numerous standards bodies should lead to further licensing deals." Note: On September 6, 2006, analysts reportedly reiterated "outperform" rating and raised share price target to $41. However WL has not been able to confirm this Initiating Coverage full report ( July 24,2006) .
Zacks Equity Research: David Weissman
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Link here to: Zacks July 31, 2006 Updated Report Archived previous updates: None available
(1) Reuters Company Research Report No analyst cited as author of report A 10 page quantitative report based on wide variety of Company and industry financial information. with excellent graphics and tools for deciding whether this is a good investment for the investor reading the report Link here to August 15, 2006 "Company Research" report Rating: Outperform Target price: none given (2) Reuters ProVestor Plus Company Report No analyst cited as author of report A 17 page quantitative report based on variety of Company and industry financial information. Especially strong in providing financial informatio on IDCC from 1998 to present and various industry comparison.graphs. Link here to: Reuters ProVestor Plus August 15, 2006 Company Report Rating: none given Target price: none given Archived previous updates Reuters ProVestor Plus Company Report June 22, 2006
(1) Schwab Company Research Report (August 17, 2006) (5 pages) No analyst cited as author of report A quantitative report with very limited Company and industry financial information, based on Reuters and others research. No rating or price target given. (2) Schwab Earnings Report August, 2006 (no specific date on report) (4 pages) No analyst cited as author of report A quantitative report based on Company and industry financial information on earnings based on Reuters research. No rating or price target given
PiperJaffray
Halpern Capital Current updated reports are not available beyond Halpern Capital's institutional accounts. However, Scot Robertson's initiating coverage report of September 21, 2005 is so comprehensive, that it is included here for investors.
Scot C. Robertson is Senior Vice President in Halpern Capital's equity research department, focusing on Telecommunication Infrastructure and Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS). Previously he covered InterDigital as a senior vice president at The Stanford Group Company, where his area was Mobile Communications Infrastructure, EMS, Printed Circuit Board (PCB) and Embedded Computing Systems sectors. Previously, Mr. Robertson was also a senior member of the global electronics franchise at Investec, Inc. Prior to his research experience, he spent two years on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) as an equity and index options specialist. Scot holds a BS in Finance from Arizona State University. Link here to the Robertson/Halpern Capital initiating coverage full report . (Sept. 22, 2005) This Robertson "initiating coverage" report is probably the most readable and comprehensive analyst report ever written on InterDigital Also available: Current updates are not available beyond Halpern Capital institutional clients Archived previous FULL REPORT: November 10, 2004 (When Scot Robertson analyzed for The Stanford Group Co.) Archived UPDATES: none available
Frank Marsala of First Albany Capital at lunch with I Hub posters/readers before an InterDigital annual meeting. Marsala has closely followed InterDigital for a number of years. (photo by Howard Hanson)
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