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Risk and Reward

Posts here updated through December 31,2006

Every golfer faces risks and rewards and so do all investors. What are the potential risks an investor in InterDigital today faces? What are the potential rewards? Does InterDigital have the best "risk to reward" ratio in the wireless communication business? Read informative I Hub posts with the pros and cons here. Includes posts related to the July 10th 20% drop in share valuation following the Piper Jaffrey analyst report. Plus the countering analyst report the next day from Frank Marsala at First Albany, who reiterated strong buy and reiterated $40 share price target.  

4G: Moving Toward 4G with IEEE802.xx Standards and More

Potential Revenue Implications for InterDigital

Posts updated here through December 29, 2006

The fourth generation (4G) of wireless telecommunications devices has not yet been defined officially or conclusively. Not unusual since parts of what it will be are still theoretical. The best definition so far appears to be:  "a network that allows data transfer rates of 1Gbps in nomadic circumstances and 100 Mbps in mobile environments."  The various potential pieces of 4G so far include: NTDD, WTDD, HSDPA, HSUPA, WiFi, WLAN, WiBro,  WiMAX, TD-CDMA, OFDMA, MIMO, IMS, VolP, GPS, DBDM, MIH, mesh networks, 802.11k, 802.16c/e, 802.21 and steerable antennas)   Standards for various parts of what 4G is likely to be, however, have already matured into worldwide standards. Even these standards, however, are at best, in early release form, with substantial refinements yet to come. Although early pieces of what will likely become 4G are already being implemented, it is the convergence of all the wireless technologies into one device which will combine immense capacity, breakneck speed, and complete mobility -- and thus become 4G.

  This topic includes the implications of the December 21, 2006 4G development agreement between InterDigital and SK Telecom, THE service provider leading the world is offering cutting edge wireless telecommunications. SK will provide the first mass market implementation of 4G and has contracted with InterDigital to design the convergence of the technologies (like WCDMA, HSxPA, WiMax and others) that will allow wireless devices in SK's service regions to seemlessly switch between technologies -- while on the move.

3G Licensing and Royalties (in general)

Many manufacturers have licensed with InterDigital and are already paying royalties. The Company is expecting to license all manufacturers of 3G mobile devices and infrastructure. How successful will the Company be? (Also see posts related to the April 2006 $250+ million royalty settlement with Nokia (and progress in specifically licensing Nokia for 3G), below.

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Samsung: Past and Future Licensing and Royalties including Sept 6, 2006 Arbitration Decision

Samsung follows Nokia and Motorola as the third largest worldwide producer of wireless devices.

On September 6, 2006:

• InterDigital Awarded $134 Million Plus Interest in Arbitration Proceeding with Samsung for Sales Through 2005
• Tribunal Also Sets Royalty Rates for Samsung's Sales of GSM/GPRS/EDGE Terminal Units In 2006
• PLUS Tribunal settles issues in IDCC's favor
• (3G is not part of today's announcement)

Posts here offer information and insights on the Sept 6 arbitration decision.  Posts also address the broader issue of the future licening of Samsung for 3G.

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Nokia: Past and Future Licensing and Royalties

Progress in licensing cell phone market leader (35% share) Nokia for 3G. In the opinion of WirelessLedger.com, Nokia is sueing InterDigital in Delaware (US) and in the UK for the purpose of gaining a better bargaining position vis a vis  the royalties they will eventually pay InterDigital for 3G.  This topic also includes comments on the April 27, 2006, InterDigital announcement of a long-awaited 2G agreement with Nokia. (Nokia has paid InterDigital $253 million for paid-up royalties for all 2G infastructure, cell phones and other wireless devices that Nokia has or will manufacture. InterDigital also agreed to release Nokia from infringement liability for its worldwide sales of 3G terminal units and infrastructure through April 26, 2006, but not thereafter.)    Follow this link to read some of the most informative IHub posts related to the very important ongoing battle for huge 3G liceninsing/royalties between  Nokia and InterDigital.

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TD-SCDMA and the China Market

China is encouraging TD-SCDMA, a "homegrown" version of 3G, to strengthen local industry and reduce foreign royalties. InterDigital and Siemens may own the major portions of the essential patented tech (TDD) in this 3G standard and are working with the Chinese on its development. WCDMA (UMTS) and CDMA are the major competing "foreign" technologies.

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How will newest 3G/4G technologies affect InterDigital?

InterDigital's patented air interface technology is essential to all current standards for 3G, ensuring royalties for the rest of this decade. But there are many proposals for enhancing current 3G (e.g. TDD, WiFi, WLAN, OFDM, HSDPA, HSUPA, steerable antennas), or even replacing existing 3G standards for some applications. What "4G" will be is not yet determined. As new technologies jockey for postions, which of them strengthen and which could weaken InterDigital's long term position in the industry? 

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